引用本文:张建云,王国庆.气候变化与中国水资源可持续利用[J].水利水运工程学报,2009,(4):
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气候变化与中国水资源可持续利用
张建云,王国庆
南京水利科学研究院,江苏,南京,210029;水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏,南京,210029
摘要:
全球变暖是目前最重要的环境问题之一.根据目前的相关研究成果,介绍了中国气候变化及其影响的事实,论述了中国水资源特点及目前存在的问题,分析了气候变化对中国典型流域河川径流量变化的贡献、未来气候变化对水资源的可能影响、以及水资源系统对气候变化的敏感性和脆弱性;结合中国的实际情况,初步提出了水资源管理中应对气候变化的基本适应对策.
关键词:  气候变化  水资源  敏感性  脆弱性  适应对策
DOI:
分类号:P467 TV21
基金项目:
Climate change and sustainable utilization of water resources in China
ZHANG Jian-yun,WANG Guo-qing
Abstract:
Global warming is currently an important environmental issue. Based on the previous studies, climate change, characteristics of water resources, as well as water issues in China are introduced. Taking Yellow River as a case, the contribution of climate change to historical changes in runoff is preliminarily analyzed. According to the projected climate scenario and hypothetical scenario, the potential impacts of climate change on water resources, as well as sensitivity and vulnerability of water resources to climate change are studied. And adaptive strategies in water resources management to climate change are put forward based on the actual situation in China.
Key words:  climate change  water resources  sensitivity  vulnerability  adaptive strategies
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